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○MethodAI Models
How is AI Capex vs. US Defense Spending constructed?
AI Capex vs. US Defense Spending — method
Two series: 2026 AI-capex by company, and total Big-Tech AI capex placed alongside US defense spending.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Returns on the capex (spend is committed, ROI is not in this index).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodLegal
How is AI Copyright Litigation constructed?
AI Copyright Litigation — method
The published method defines the construction and scope of this Evidence Brief.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Failure modes are stated on the Method page.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodEnergy
How is AI Data-Center Electricity Demand & the Grid constructed?
AI Data-Center Electricity Demand & the Grid — method
Five series: global data-center electricity consumption, the AI vs non-AI share of that load, PJM capacity-auction clearing prices, the US demand-vs-capacity shortfall, and per-site power draw.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Exact future DC demand (series mix historicals with analyst estimates).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is AI Debt: How the Build-Out Is Financed constructed?
AI Debt: How the Build-Out Is Financed — method
Three series: 2026 issuance by issuer, 2025 full-year versus 2026 year-to-date, and where projections land.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Microsoft's standalone 2026 issuance — inside the total but not separately published.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodLegal
How is AI Regulation: Bills vs Laws constructed?
AI Regulation: Bills vs Laws — method
The published method defines the construction and scope of this Evidence Brief.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Failure modes are stated on the Method page.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is Airbus vs Boeing: The 2026 Delivery Gap constructed?
Airbus vs Boeing: The 2026 Delivery Gap — method
Three series: H1 2026 deliveries, H1 2026 net orders, and Airbus Q2 2026 financials.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Backlog composition or delivery-slot dates.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is Airbus: 452 Aircraft in Five Months constructed?
Airbus: 452 Aircraft in Five Months — method
Seven series: annual deliveries 2019–2025, the 2026 delivery arithmetic, December deliveries by year, H1 2026 deliveries by family, announced programme rate targets, backlog by family at 31 July 2026, and H1 2026 headline financials.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- February, March and April 2026 monthly deliveries — not sourced in this pass, so no monthly 2026 series is charted.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAutomotive
How is Battery Pack Prices constructed?
Battery Pack Prices — method
Two series: the global pack price trend, and 2025 pack price by region.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Cell-level prices or chemistry-specific breakdowns.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodHealthcare
How is Biotech Venture Funding constructed?
Biotech Venture Funding — method
Two series: global biotech venture funding, and biopharma-specific venture funding.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Stage or therapeutic-area breakdowns.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is Boeing’s Recovery, Quarter by Quarter constructed?
Boeing’s Recovery, Quarter by Quarter — method
Six series from Boeing’s own quarterly releases: free cash flow by quarter, commercial deliveries by quarter, total company backlog, segment operating margins for Q1 vs Q2 2026, the 737 monthly rate path from the 2024 cap to the stated 52 target, and the Q2 2026 model mix.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Q1 2025 deliveries — not published in the releases used and deliberately not interpolated.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAutomotive
How is China Vehicle Exports constructed?
China Vehicle Exports — method
Two series: annual vehicle exports, and the year-on-year growth rate.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- EV versus ICE split, or destination-market breakdown.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodReal Estate
How is Data-Centre Real Estate constructed?
Data-Centre Real Estate — method
The published method defines the construction and scope of this Evidence Brief.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Failure modes are stated on the Method page.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodRetail
How is E-Commerce Share of US Retail constructed?
E-Commerce Share of US Retail — method
Two series: e-commerce share of US retail sales by Q1, and the Q1 2026 growth gap.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Category-level penetration, which varies enormously.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is eVTOL: From Letters of Intent to Binding Orders constructed?
eVTOL: From Letters of Intent to Binding Orders — method
Three series: announced order book by OEM, Eve binding orders, and stated FAA type-certification targets.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Revenue, unit price, or margin.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAI Models
How is GLM-5.2 Benchmarks constructed?
GLM-5.2 Benchmarks — method
Six series comparing GLM-5.2 to Opus 4.8, GPT-5.5, Gemini and its own predecessor GLM-5.1: long-horizon coding, standard coding, reasoning, agentic, a generational 5.2-vs-5.1 delta, and a multi-token-prediction (MTP) ablation.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Independent verification — every figure is vendor self-reported (zai-glm52).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodGeopolitical
How is Global Defence Spending constructed?
Global Defence Spending — method
Two series: world military expenditure by year, and the largest spenders.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Procurement versus personnel composition.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAutomotive
How is Global EV Adoption constructed?
Global EV Adoption — method
Two series: EV share of new car sales, and the year-on-year change in that share.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- BEV versus PHEV split.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAgriculture
How is Global Food Prices constructed?
Global Food Prices — method
Two series: the annual FAO Food Price Index level, and the year-on-year percentage change.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Commodity sub-indices (cereals, dairy, oils, meat, sugar).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is Global IPO Market constructed?
Global IPO Market — method
Three series: global IPO proceeds, deal count, and the 2023 as-published versus as-restated comparison.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Regional or sector breakdowns.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodEnergy
How is Global Solar Capacity constructed?
Global Solar Capacity — method
Three series: cumulative capacity, annual additions, and country share of 2024 additions.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Generation, as distinct from capacity.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is Gold Price Fluctuation constructed?
Gold Price Fluctuation — method
Four series: gold spot by year, annual returns, central-bank net gold purchases (tonnes), and forward forecasts alongside the current spot.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Which forecast will be correct (targets are labelled, not settled).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodInsurance
How is Insured Catastrophe Losses constructed?
Insured Catastrophe Losses — method
Three series: 2024 estimates by provider, insured losses by year, and the 2025 forecast against the 2025 outcome.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Peril-level or regional breakdowns.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is Narrowbody Deliveries: Can the Duopoly Build What It Sold? constructed?
Narrowbody Deliveries: Can the Duopoly Build What It Sold? — method
Six series on single-aisle capacity: unfilled orders by programme at 31 July 2026, the month-on-month backlog shift, announced end-state monthly rates, the 2026 year-to-date delivery and order scorecard, June 2026 output split by body type, and GE Aerospace LEAP growth rates.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Absolute LEAP or GTF unit deliveries — GE publishes growth percentages only and Pratt & Whitney publishes no comparable figure.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodEnergy
How is Nuclear Construction & the SMR Reality Check constructed?
Nuclear Construction & the SMR Reality Check — method
Two series: nuclear capacity under construction, and commercial SMR capacity actually being built.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Completion dates, cost, or schedule performance.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is Private Credit: A $1.2 Trillion Disagreement constructed?
Private Credit: A $1.2 Trillion Disagreement — method
Two series: current AUM estimates by provider, and 2030 projections by provider.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- A single correct market size — no consensus definition exists.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodGeopolitical
How is Shipping Chokepoints constructed?
Shipping Chokepoints — method
Two series: the Suez traffic decline by measure, and Panama Canal daily transit limits.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Freight rates or insurance premia.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is Six-Economy Macro Baseline constructed?
Six-Economy Macro Baseline — method
Four connected annual indicators for the United States, China, India, Germany, the United Kingdom and Japan: real GDP growth, consumer-price inflation, modeled ILO unemployment, and trade as a share of GDP.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Quarterly turning points or conditions after the annual observations.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodGeopolitical
How is SpaceX IPO & the Commercial Space Economy constructed?
SpaceX IPO & the Commercial Space Economy — method
Seven series on the SpaceX-led launch and satellite-internet market: the private-valuation ladder (with Rocket Lab as the public comparator), orbital launches per year, a dated launch-milestone log, Starlink satellites deployed per year, the Starlink subscriber S-curve, $/kg-to-LEO by vehicle, and an estimated Starlink coverage map.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Blue Origin's valuation (private, unsourced — omitted, not estimated).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is SpaceX Launch Cadence constructed?
SpaceX Launch Cadence — method
Two series: Falcon 9 flights per calendar year, and cumulative 2026 cadence checkpoints.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Falcon Heavy or Starship flights — Falcon 9 only.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodCryptocurrency
How is Stablecoins & the GENIUS Act constructed?
Stablecoins & the GENIUS Act — method
Five series: total stablecoin market cap by quarter, issuer share, transfer volume vs card networks, the GENIUS Act regulatory timeline, and reserve composition by issuer.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Organic vs wash volume precisely (only the ~70% non-organic caveat is sourced).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is The 6.5% Mortgage Era constructed?
The 6.5% Mortgage Era — method
Two series: current mortgage/borrowing rates, and 2026 home-price forecasts from major houses.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Which price forecast is right (all are labelled projections).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAI Models
How is The Frontier AI Model Race (2026) constructed?
The Frontier AI Model Race (2026) — method
Four series on the 2026 frontier-model race: quarterly releases by lab, a capability-vs-cost scatter of leading models, an estimated training-compute (FLOP) trend, and an editorial safety-posture matrix across risk domains.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Exact, lab-disclosed training compute (FLOP figures are third-party estimates).
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAerospace
How is The Orbital Launch Market — and the Numbers Nobody Agrees On constructed?
The Orbital Launch Market — and the Numbers Nobody Agrees On — method
Seven series: total orbital launch attempts 2020–2026, US against China by year, 2026 attempts by launching state, the four-way disagreement over China’s 2025 count, China’s 2026 target against its pace, the top five launch vehicles of 2026, and the top five launch sites.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Payload mass to orbit by country or provider — no consistently-methodised open source was found, so capability is proxied only by launch count.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodFinance
How is UPI vs Visa & Mastercard: India’s Payments Rewiring constructed?
UPI vs Visa & Mastercard: India’s Payments Rewiring — method
Eleven series: the UPI decade in volume and value, the instrument shift away from debit cards, UPI against the global card networks, merchant cost per sale, US swipe fees, the Rs 2,000 threshold, the government incentive outlay, UPI app concentration, merchant categories by value, and currency in circulation.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- What rate, if any, will actually be notified — the bill creates a framework, not a rate.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodAI Models
How is US Frontier-AI Policy Tracker constructed?
US Frontier-AI Policy Tracker — method
Two series: federal AI governance actions by year and type, and the frontier labs inside the August 2026 voluntary testing framework.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- Compliance or outcomes — the index records participation only.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.
○MethodInsurance
How is US Home Insurance Premiums constructed?
US Home Insurance Premiums — method
Two series: approved rate change against realised written premium, and the average annual premium level.
- Data / review date
- Review date is stated on the linked Evidence Brief
- Strongest source tier
- Attributed method · no numeric rating
- Largest caveat
- State-level or peril-specific pricing.
?Because the method belongs to the matched Evidence Brief. Method relevance is not an evidence score.