How is Gold Price Fluctuation constructed?
Published by Deepstory Research as the methodology attached to Gold Price Fluctuation. Scope and source attribution are bounded by that Evidence Brief.
Procedure and scope
Source-backed values are seeded for all four charts: the annual average gold price (2020 → 2026 spot), the annual return, central-bank net purchases, and the current spot price vs analyst forecasts. Every numeric point carries a sources[].ref and a value_basis. Annual averages are from the World Gold Council and Macrotrends; central-bank tonnage is from the WGC Gold Demand Trends; forecasts are J.P. Morgan Global Research. CAVEAT: the 2026 point is a spot price (Jun 22 2026), not a full-year average, and is labeled as such. Annual returns are computed from the cited annual averages (year-over-year change), not separately published figures. Re-verified 2026-06-22.
Known failure modes and limits
- Which forecast will be correct (targets are labelled, not settled).
- Intra-year price swings (series are annual averages plus a spot print).