How is Six-Economy Macro Baseline constructed?
Published by Deepstory Research as the methodology attached to Six-Economy Macro Baseline. Scope and source attribution are bounded by that Evidence Brief.
Procedure and scope
This index answers one question: how have six systemically important economies diverged since 2019 across growth, prices, labor and external exposure? It is designed for a macro-risk briefing, market-entry memo or country-comparison slide—not for investment advice or forecasting. SOURCE. Every value comes from the World Bank Indicators API v2, source 2 (World Development Indicators), retrieved 2026-09-10. The API reported lastupdated=2026-07-13. Unemployment is the modeled ILO estimate distributed through WDI; it is not a country headline series. TRANSFORMATION. Display values are rounded to two decimals. The exact unrounded API values, query URLs, definitions and retrieval metadata are preserved in Topics_Content/data/batch-8_global-macro-baseline_2026-09-10.md. MISSING VALUE. The retrieved WDI response has no US CPI observation for 2025. It is omitted; no estimate or carry-forward value is substituted. COMPARABILITY. GDP growth and CPI are harmonized annual indicators but national revisions, baskets and accounting practices still differ. The trade chart uses 2024—the latest common year for all six economies— rather than mixing release years. Trade is exports plus imports as a share of GDP; it does not measure the trade balance. SELECTION. The six economies are an editorial comparison set chosen for global decision relevance, not a ranking. The index does not claim they represent every region or income group. Collected 2026-09-10 and re-fetched in a separate verification pass the same day. No value that failed to reappear was retained.
Known failure modes and limits
- Quarterly turning points or conditions after the annual observations.
- A forecast for growth, inflation, unemployment or trade.
- Country-specific CPI basket differences, labor participation, wage growth or underemployment.
- Trade balance, bilateral partner exposure, product mix or supply-chain resilience.
- Regional and income-group coverage beyond the six selected economies.