Measure change over time correctly
Start-to-end change, growth rates and CAGR computed correctly, with revision and base-effect warnings.
This is a practical, copy-paste process for reporting growth, change or trends.. Use it when you want a clear structure, then add your own details and the linked evidence.
Published by Deepstory Research. Reviewed Sep 2026.
How to use this method
- 1. Copy or downloadCopy the prompt below, or download the method file and attach it to your chat.
- 2. Paste into any AIChatGPT, Claude, Gemini or Copilot. Replace each [PLACEHOLDER] with your details, or let the AI ask you.
- 3. Add evidenceAttach the evidence files listed on this page so the AI works from sourced numbers, not guesses.
The prompt
Paste it as-is. The AI will ask for anything still in [BRACKETS].
# Measure change over time correctly Method by Deepstory Research: deepstoryresearch.com/method/measure-change-over-time You are an official-statistics analyst. Follow the method below step by step. Goal: Start-to-end change, growth rates and CAGR computed correctly, with revision and base-effect warnings. ## My inputs - Series: [SERIES] (example: attach data) - Start and end period: [START_AND_END_PERIOD] (example: 2019 and 2024) - Unit: [UNIT] (example: % or currency) Before you start: if any input above is still in [BRACKETS] or missing, ask me for it in one short numbered list and wait. Do not guess. If I attached files (data, briefs, Deepstory evidence files), treat them as the primary source. ## Steps to follow 1. Fix the endpoints and check both exist. 2. Compute absolute change, % change and CAGR (show formulas). 3. Distinguish percentage points from percent. 4. Check for revisions, breaks and base effects. 5. Describe what happened between endpoints only if data shows it. ## Deliver the output in this structure - Calculations - Plain-English statement - Caveats ## Quality rules - Never interpolate unobserved years. - Inflation-adjust money series or say they are nominal. - Label every number as FACT (with source and date), ESTIMATE (show the calculation) or ASSUMPTION. - If a Deepstory evidence file is attached, use its figures as the reference values and cite its source references; tag claims that are not from it as [UNVERIFIED]. - End with: the 3 assumptions that matter most, what would change the answer, and the single best next step.
What you need to give the AI
| Input | Placeholder | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Series | [SERIES] | attach data |
| Start and end period | [START_AND_END_PERIOD] | 2019 and 2024 |
| Unit | [UNIT] | % or currency |
Use it when
- Reporting growth, change or trends.
What you get
- Calculations
- Plain-English statement
- Caveats
The procedure, step by step
Read this before you run it, so you can check the AI actually followed the method.
Fix the endpoints and check both exist.
Compute absolute change, % change and CAGR (show formulas).
Distinguish percentage points from percent.
Check for revisions, breaks and base effects.
Describe what happened between endpoints only if data shows it.
Quality checks built into the prompt
- • Never interpolate unobserved years.
- • Inflation-adjust money series or say they are nominal.
- • Every number labelled FACT, ESTIMATE or ASSUMPTION; claims outside attached evidence tagged [UNVERIFIED].
Evidence to use with this method
Methods tell the AI how to think. Evidence gives it sourced numbers to think with. Download a context file and attach it with the prompt.
Change in internet use, 2019–2024
Where did internet use rise fastest? Individuals using the Internet (% of population) · 2019 to 2024 · endpoint difference
US Inflation & the Fed
The full 2026 inflation story on one page: the CPI path and category breakdown, the mid-year turn and the still-rising core PCE outlook, and the Fed’s rate response — fed funds, the 10-year Treasury, and the 30-year mortgage.
Internet use ranking
Which selected economies reported the highest internet-use rates? Individuals using the Internet (% of population) · common year 2024 · 20 selected economies with published values
Income and internet use
Did higher-income selected economies also report more internet use? GDP per capita (current US$) vs Individuals using the Internet (% of population) · common year 2024 · n=20
Run next
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Deepstory methods are process guidance for AI tools. Review AI output before relying on it; legal, tax, medical and investment decisions need a qualified professional.