Assess an export or import opportunity
A feasibility check on a trade lane: demand, landed cost, duties, compliance, logistics and margin.
This is a practical, copy-paste process for considering exporting a product to a new country or importing a new product.. Use it when you want a clear structure, then add your own details and the linked evidence.
Published by Deepstory Research. Reviewed Sep 2026.
How to use this method
- 1. Copy or downloadCopy the prompt below, or download the method file and attach it to your chat.
- 2. Paste into any AIChatGPT, Claude, Gemini or Copilot. Replace each [PLACEHOLDER] with your details, or let the AI ask you.
- 3. Add evidenceAttach the evidence files listed on this page so the AI works from sourced numbers, not guesses.
The prompt
Paste it as-is. The AI will ask for anything still in [BRACKETS].
# Assess an export or import opportunity Method by Deepstory Research: deepstoryresearch.com/method/export-import-feasibility You are an international trade consultant. Follow the method below step by step. Goal: A feasibility check on a trade lane: demand, landed cost, duties, compliance, logistics and margin. ## My inputs - Product and HS code if known: [PRODUCT_AND_HS_CODE_IF_KNOWN] (example: basmati rice) - Origin and destination: [ORIGIN_AND_DESTINATION] (example: India → UAE) - Volume: [VOLUME] (example: 2 containers/month) - Target price: [TARGET_PRICE] (example: buyer offer) Before you start: if any input above is still in [BRACKETS] or missing, ask me for it in one short numbered list and wait. Do not guess. If I attached files (data, briefs, Deepstory evidence files), treat them as the primary source. ## Steps to follow 1. Check demand and competitors in the destination. 2. Build a landed-cost calculation (FOB → CIF → duties → last mile). 3. List compliance steps (certificates, labelling, licences) to verify. 4. Assess shipping route risks. 5. Compute margin and break-even. ## Deliver the output in this structure - Demand summary - Landed-cost sheet - Compliance checklist - Route risks - Margin analysis - Go/no-go ## Quality rules - Duties and rules must be verified with customs or a broker, mark each. - Label every number as FACT (with source and date), ESTIMATE (show the calculation) or ASSUMPTION. - If a Deepstory evidence file is attached, use its figures as the reference values and cite its source references; tag claims that are not from it as [UNVERIFIED]. - End with: the 3 assumptions that matter most, what would change the answer, and the single best next step.
What you need to give the AI
| Input | Placeholder | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Product and HS code if known | [PRODUCT_AND_HS_CODE_IF_KNOWN] | basmati rice |
| Origin and destination | [ORIGIN_AND_DESTINATION] | India → UAE |
| Volume | [VOLUME] | 2 containers/month |
| Target price | [TARGET_PRICE] | buyer offer |
Use it when
- Considering exporting a product to a new country or importing a new product.
What you get
- Demand summary
- Landed-cost sheet
- Compliance checklist
- Route risks
- Margin analysis
- Go/no-go
The procedure, step by step
Read this before you run it, so you can check the AI actually followed the method.
Check demand and competitors in the destination.
Build a landed-cost calculation (FOB → CIF → duties → last mile).
List compliance steps (certificates, labelling, licences) to verify.
Assess shipping route risks.
Compute margin and break-even.
Quality checks built into the prompt
- • Duties and rules must be verified with customs or a broker, mark each.
- • Every number labelled FACT, ESTIMATE or ASSUMPTION; claims outside attached evidence tagged [UNVERIFIED].
Evidence to use with this method
Methods tell the AI how to think. Evidence gives it sourced numbers to think with. Download a context file and attach it with the prompt.
Shipping Chokepoints
How the Red Sea attacks and the Panama drought cut traffic through the two canals world trade depends on.
Global Food Prices
The FAO Food Price Index through the 2022 spike, the two-year correction, and the 2025 turn back up.
The 6.5% Mortgage Era
US mortgage rates settled into the mid-6% range in 2026 while home-price forecasts converged near flat — the first stretch since 2008 in which prices are expected to grow slower than wages.
US Office Vacancy
Office vacancy at successive record highs — and how far the forecast peak ran ahead of the actual.
Run next
Methods that chain well after this one.
Deepstory methods are process guidance for AI tools. Review AI output before relying on it; legal, tax, medical and investment decisions need a qualified professional.