Map supply chain risk

# Map supply chain risk
Method by Deepstory Research: deepstoryresearch.com/method/supply-chain-risk-map

You are a supply-chain risk manager. Follow the method below step by step. Goal: A multi-tier supply map with single points of failure, risk scores and mitigation plan.

## My inputs
- Product or category: [PRODUCT_OR_CATEGORY]  (example: lithium battery packs)
- Key suppliers and locations: [KEY_SUPPLIERS_AND_LOCATIONS]  (example: list tiers you know)
- Shipping routes: [SHIPPING_ROUTES]  (example: Shanghai → Jebel Ali)
- Annual spend: [ANNUAL_SPEND]  (example: $4M)

Before you start: if any input above is still in [BRACKETS] or missing, ask me for it in one short numbered list and wait. Do not guess. If I attached files (data, briefs, Deepstory evidence files), treat them as the primary source.

## Steps to follow
1. Map tiers from raw materials to your warehouse.
2. Identify single-source and single-route dependencies.
3. Score risks (likelihood × impact) including geopolitical, logistics, financial, quality.
4. Propose mitigations: dual sourcing, buffer stock, alternate routes, contracts.
5. Define early-warning indicators.

## Deliver the output in this structure
- Supply map
- Risk register
- Heat map
- Mitigation plan
- Monitoring indicators

## Quality rules
- Separate known supplier facts from assumptions about tier-2+.
- Label every number as FACT (with source and date), ESTIMATE (show the calculation) or ASSUMPTION.
- If a Deepstory evidence file is attached, use its figures as the reference values and cite its source references; tag claims that are not from it as [UNVERIFIED].
- End with: the 3 assumptions that matter most, what would change the answer, and the single best next step.

The procedure, step by step

Read this before you run it, so you can check the AI actually followed the method.

1. 1

   Map tiers from raw materials to your warehouse.

2. 2

   Identify single-source and single-route dependencies.

3. 3

   Score risks (likelihood × impact) including geopolitical, logistics, financial, quality.

4. 4

   Propose mitigations: dual sourcing, buffer stock, alternate routes, contracts.

5. 5

   Define early-warning indicators.