Geopolitical

Launches: successes vs failures by year

Orbital launch attempts 2006 → 2025, plus a dated milestone launch log.

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About this data

SpaceX scaled from a handful of Falcon 1 attempts (with early failures) to well over 100 Falcon 9 flights per year, with booster reuse the key unlock. The success-vs-failure split shows reliability improving even as cadence exploded — the opposite of the usual volume-vs-quality trade-off.

Launches: successes vs failures by year

Orbital launch attempts (Falcon 1 / Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy), 2006 → 2025.

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Data table

Launches: successes vs failures by year — launches_by_year data table (SpaceX IPO & the Commercial Space Economy)
year series failure success source_ref value_basis
2006 launches_by_year 1 0 wikipedia-f9 Falcon 1 Flight 1 failed, Mar 2006
2007 launches_by_year 1 0 wikipedia-f9 Falcon 1 Flight 2 failed to reach orbit, Mar 2007
2008 launches_by_year 1 1 wikipedia-f9 Flight 3 failed (Aug); Flight 4 first orbital success (Sep 28 2008)
2009 launches_by_year 0 1 wikipedia-f9 Falcon 1 Flight 5 (RazakSAT) success, Jul 2009
2010 launches_by_year 0 2 wikipedia-f9 Falcon 9 maiden (Jun) + COTS Demo 1 (Dec)

14 more rows + CSV download

The full 19-row dataset, one-click CSV export, and the AI-ready context file are free with an account. Prefer to verify it yourself? The full methodology and sources are published below.

Data table

Launches: successes vs failures by year — launch_log data table (SpaceX IPO & the Commercial Space Economy)
date series mission outcome vehicle source_ref value_basis
2006-03-24 launch_log FalconSAT-2 (Flight 1) Failure Falcon 1 wikipedia-f9 First SpaceX orbital launch attempt — failed
2008-09-28 launch_log Flight 4 (RatSat) Success Falcon 1 wikipedia-f9 First privately developed liquid-fuel rocket to orbit
2010-06-04 launch_log Falcon 9 maiden flight Success Falcon 9 wikipedia-f9 First Falcon 9 launch
2012-05-22 launch_log COTS Demo (Dragon to ISS) Success Falcon 9 wikipedia-f9 First commercial spacecraft to ISS
2015-06-28 launch_log CRS-7 Failure Falcon 9 wikipedia-f9 In-flight breakup ~2m19s after liftoff

7 more rows + CSV download

The full 12-row dataset, one-click CSV export, and the AI-ready context file are free with an account. Prefer to verify it yourself? The full methodology and sources are published below.

Methodology & sources

Last updated: Jul 17, 2026

Methodology

Source-backed values are seeded for all six chart sections: the Starlink subscriber S-curve (2020 → Feb 2026), SpaceX valuation by year with Rocket Lab market cap as a public comparator, launch successes vs failures by year (2006 → 2025) plus a dated milestone launch log, Starlink satellites deployed per year, launch cost per kilogram by vehicle, and a Starlink coverage map. Every numeric point carries a sources[].ref it traces to, plus a value_basis naming the report passage or brief section. Primary public sources (FCC, FAA, SEC EDGAR) are cited where authoritative; secondary reporting (Sacra, CB Insights, Statista, Space.com, CompaniesMarketCap, Wikipedia launch lists) is named where it was the reachable source. ESTIMATE: the Starlink coverage map is a clearly-labeled estimate of a representative set of active markets (on-chart "Estimated" ribbon), not a definitive per-country status. Blue Origin is private with no public valuation and is deliberately omitted from the valuation comparator rather than invented. The 2026 ~$1.75T figure is the IPO target, not a closed round. Re-verified 2026-06-15.

Sources

Comparisons are informative, not definitive. See each source for definitions and limits.

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